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Red71
634314.5
413117.0
131824.7
Blue65
412520.7
498016.1
281130.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558120401001207165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.5
22.122.7
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.1
blue by 6.1
30.91.0
30.729.7
Auto10.8
Teleop14.1
End5.9
Second
4131
#11
17.00.5
17.317.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 3.7
4125
#14
20.71.0
24.723.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.3
Third
6343
#17
14.50.5
13.814.3
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 1.6
16.11.7
15.113.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned