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Red37
853214.6
46926.7
159516.2
Blue83
96808.9
546815.4
281130.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3863020801003783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1595
#12
16.20.0
15.715.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
blue by 14.6
30.90.4
29.729.3
Auto10.8
Teleop14.1
End5.9
Second
8532
#26
14.60.0
13.213.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End0.5
blue by 0.8
5468
#21
15.40.4
15.014.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Third
4692
#25
6.70.0
8.58.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 2.2
9680
#22
8.90.6
9.58.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned