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Red78
498016.1
131824.7
592011.5
Blue60
406014.4
214721.7
683113.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52510204060801001207860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.72.0
22.724.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 3.0
2147
#13
21.70.9
18.919.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Second
16.13.0
13.416.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 1.8
4060
#18
14.40.9
13.814.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Third
11.52.0
10.612.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
blue by 1.9
6831
#10
13.40.9
13.514.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsEarned