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Red36
131824.7
683113.4
96139.4
Blue28
371210.2
94386.9
644324.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564320801003628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.6
24.623.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 0.7
24.01.0
21.620.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
Second
6831
#10
13.41.6
14.412.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.5
red by 3.2
3712
#16
10.21.0
11.110.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Third
9613
#20
9.41.6
10.48.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End0.6
red by 2.5
9438
#23
6.91.0
7.76.8
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed