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Red29
498016.1
406014.4
46926.7
Blue23
592011.5
357414.3
60763.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45382030506070802923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.11.0
16.415.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 1.9
3574
#15
14.31.2
15.314.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Second
4060
#18
14.40.7
14.714.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
red by 2.8
11.50.8
12.611.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Third
4692
#25
6.71.0
8.57.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.7
red by 3.2
6076
#27
3.51.2
7.66.4
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed