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Red48
357414.3
546815.4
683113.4
Blue45
94386.9
592011.5
387613.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483101020406070804845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#21
15.40.4
15.215.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
red by 2.1
3876
#28
13.30.4
11.612.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Second
3574
#15
14.30.6
14.114.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End0.3
red by 2.8
11.50.4
11.812.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Third
6831
#10
13.40.4
12.312.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.5
red by 6.5
9438
#23
6.90.4
6.87.2
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned