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Red53
644324.0
410410.8
96139.4
Blue67
49222.7
406014.4
451317.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4262020801005367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.9
22.523.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
red by 1.3
492
#3
22.70.5
21.922.4
Auto9.3
Teleop11.3
End2.1
Second
4104
#24
10.81.0
9.310.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 6.4
17.20.4
18.518.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Third
9613
#20
9.40.9
8.49.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 5.0
4060
#18
14.40.4
13.513.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed