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Red28
94386.9
406014.4
853214.6
Blue45
592011.5
408918.8
634314.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274202060802845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8532
#26
14.60.1
10.410.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End0.5
blue by 4.2
18.80.4
16.917.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
4060
#18
14.40.1
9.29.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
blue by 0.2
6343
#17
14.50.4
11.712.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
9438
#23
6.90.1
6.86.9
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 4.6
11.50.4
7.88.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed