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Red43
413117.0
357414.3
96808.9
Blue84
451317.2
214721.7
131824.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4058020801004384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#11
17.00.2
16.817.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 7.8
24.70.6
17.618.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
3574
#15
14.30.3
10.811.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End0.3
blue by 7.5
2147
#13
21.70.6
15.816.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Third
9680
#22
8.90.3
11.011.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 8.3
17.20.6
17.117.7
Auto6.6
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned