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Red86
683113.4
371210.2
498016.1
Blue59
60763.5
546815.4
49222.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394130506070808659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.9
13.714.6
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
blue by 6.6
492
#3
22.70.5
16.316.8
Auto9.3
Teleop11.3
End2.1
Second
6831
#10
13.40.6
12.212.8
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.5
blue by 2.1
5468
#21
15.40.3
12.112.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Third
3712
#16
10.20.6
9.810.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End1.4
red by 6.7
6076
#27
3.50.5
8.79.3
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed