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Red49
406014.4
159516.2
408918.8
Blue80
292622.8
644324.0
412520.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4058020801004980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.0
17.317.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
blue by 5.2
24.01.6
14.916.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
Second
1595
#12
16.20.0
12.012.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
blue by 6.6
22.81.6
15.317.0
Auto12.9
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Third
4060
#18
14.40.0
9.39.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
blue by 6.3
4125
#14
20.71.6
20.221.9
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed