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Red46
546815.4
94386.9
412520.7
Blue53
214721.7
498016.1
357414.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47572030407080904653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#14
20.70.2
21.221.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.3
blue by 1.0
2147
#13
21.70.2
20.820.9
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Second
5468
#21
15.40.2
15.615.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 0.7
16.10.2
15.215.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Third
9438
#23
6.90.2
7.27.0
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 7.4
3574
#15
14.30.2
14.714.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed31%Ensemble oddsMissed