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Red31
451317.2
60763.5
281130.9
Blue52
292622.8
410410.8
406014.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64492040801003152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.7
31.429.8
Auto10.8
Teleop14.1
End5.9
red by 8.0
22.80.4
21.922.3
Auto12.9
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Second
17.21.7
18.917.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.7
End1.9
red by 2.9
4060
#18
14.40.4
13.914.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Third
6076
#27
3.52.0
5.73.6
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.1
blue by 7.3
4104
#24
10.80.4
10.410.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed