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Red47
634314.5
413117.0
546815.4
Blue38
412520.7
853214.6
46926.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53470204060801004738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#11
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 3.7
4125
#14
20.70.3
21.020.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.3
Second
5468
#21
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
red by 0.8
8532
#26
14.60.3
15.014.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End0.5
Third
6343
#17
14.50.0
14.614.6
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 7.8
4692
#25
6.70.4
6.96.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed