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Red104
387613.3
644324.0
281130.9
Blue41
413117.0
406014.4
546815.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754820406010012010441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.6
29.830.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.1
End5.9
red by 13.9
4131
#11
17.00.1
17.016.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
24.00.6
22.923.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
red by 8.6
5468
#21
15.40.1
15.415.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Third
3876
#28
13.30.6
12.212.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
blue by 1.1
4060
#18
14.40.1
14.314.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0