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Red51
49222.7
214721.7
46926.7
Blue57
413117.0
406014.4
546815.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58512040801005157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#3
22.70.1
22.822.7
Auto9.3
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 5.7
4131
#11
17.00.1
17.017.1
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
2147
#13
21.70.1
21.921.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
red by 6.3
5468
#21
15.40.1
15.415.6
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Third
4692
#25
6.70.1
6.86.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 7.6
4060
#18
14.40.1
14.414.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0