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Red84
387613.3
644324.0
281130.9
Blue31
634314.5
131824.7
96139.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78512040601001201408431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.1
30.530.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.1
End5.9
red by 6.1
24.70.4
25.024.6
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
24.00.1
23.623.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
red by 9.5
6343
#17
14.50.4
14.814.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
3876
#28
13.30.1
12.912.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 3.9
9613
#20
9.40.4
9.69.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End0.6