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Red59
96139.4
131824.7
634314.5
Blue20
408918.8
683113.4
357414.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545420304050605920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.1
24.825.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 5.9
18.80.6
19.619.0
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
6343
#17
14.50.1
14.614.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 0.3
3574
#15
14.30.6
15.014.4
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Third
9613
#20
9.40.1
9.59.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 4.0
6831
#10
13.40.6
14.113.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.5