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Red74
49222.7
214721.7
46926.7
Blue44
412520.7
853214.6
592011.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57512030407080907444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#3
22.70.4
22.523.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.3
End2.1
red by 2.0
4125
#14
20.70.1
20.720.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.3
Second
2147
#13
21.70.4
21.622.0
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
red by 7.1
8532
#26
14.60.1
14.614.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End0.5
Third
4692
#25
6.70.4
6.67.0
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 4.8
11.50.1
11.511.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2