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Red64
546815.4
406014.4
413117.0
Blue45
498016.1
451317.2
40618.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52450204060801006445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#11
17.00.2
16.817.0
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 0.2
17.20.0
17.217.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Second
5468
#21
15.40.2
15.315.4
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 0.7
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Third
4060
#18
14.40.2
14.214.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
red by 6.0
4061
#19
8.40.0
8.38.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.8