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Red22
8823.5
61539.8
20843.5
Blue9
8119.5
2387.3
242314.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49410206080229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#14
23.52.4
19.116.8
Auto12.5
Teleop9.7
End1.3
red by 9.4
14.13.2
11.07.8
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Second
6153
#25
9.82.4
14.612.3
Auto1.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8
red by 0.2
811
#15
9.53.2
10.97.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End0.5
Third
3.52.4
9.67.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 3.8
238
#29
7.33.2
15.912.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed