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Red71
311715.1
8119.5
242314.1
Blue53
346721.8
2387.3
16613.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265602040801007153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.14.9
11.816.7
Auto6.8
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 6.7
21.80.6
18.719.3
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Second
14.14.9
7.812.7
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End0.3
red by 0.2
166
#23
13.90.6
16.116.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.4
Third
811
#15
9.54.9
7.712.5
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End0.5
red by 2.3
238
#29
7.30.6
12.713.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed