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Red115
476110.9
910114.9
8823.5
Blue96
545912.6
7822.6
856713.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474640608010011596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#14
23.58.1
16.824.9
Auto12.5
Teleop9.7
End1.3
red by 0.9
78
#6
22.66.0
16.923.0
Auto11.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Second
9101
#17
14.98.1
14.822.9
Auto10.7
Teleop3.2
End1.1
red by 1.2
8567
#16
13.76.0
12.918.9
Auto8.6
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Third
4761
#18
10.98.1
10.418.5
Auto8.7
Teleop1.9
End0.3
blue by 1.7
5459
#30
12.66.0
11.817.9
Auto6.7
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed