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Red19
581311.6
13111.9
910114.9
Blue56
115311.5
346721.8
542212.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58462040801001956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#17
14.93.8
22.919.2
Auto10.7
Teleop3.2
End1.1
blue by 6.9
21.80.3
19.319.6
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Second
131
#31
11.93.8
12.48.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.5
blue by 0.6
12.50.3
11.511.8
Auto6.5
Teleop5.9
End0.0
Third
5813
#19
11.63.8
15.511.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Level
1153
#22
11.50.3
12.512.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed