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Red17
2387.3
5014.5
20843.5
Blue8
490915.6
476110.9
40418.3
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2652020406080100120178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#29
7.32.4
13.310.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 8.3
15.64.0
18.314.3
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End1.0
Second
501
#28
4.52.4
7.14.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 6.4
4761
#18
10.94.0
14.910.9
Auto8.7
Teleop1.9
End0.3
Third
3.52.4
6.33.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 4.8
4041
#26
8.34.0
10.76.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed