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Red30
856713.7
586.7
346721.8
Blue20
61539.8
40418.3
5014.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5517040801001203020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.7
19.617.9
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 12.1
6153
#25
9.80.0
8.68.6
Auto1.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Second
8567
#16
13.71.7
16.414.7
Auto8.6
Teleop3.7
End1.3
red by 5.4
4041
#26
8.30.0
6.76.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Third
58
#13
6.71.7
9.27.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.9
End0.9
red by 2.1
501
#28
4.50.0
4.74.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed