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Red11
16613.9
5096.1
27135.8
Blue9
910114.9
17689.8
2387.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32480100150119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#23
13.92.2
13.611.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 1.0
9101
#17
14.93.6
19.215.6
Auto10.7
Teleop3.2
End1.1
Second
509
#21
6.12.2
9.37.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 3.7
1768
#32
9.83.6
11.47.8
Auto1.5
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Third
2713
#27
5.82.2
8.05.8
Auto1.3
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 1.5
238
#29
7.33.6
10.97.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed