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Red57
999616.5
93029.0
999013.2
Blue74
874426.1
582618.0
999310.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505401001502005774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#11
29.00.7
29.930.6
Auto9.5
Teleop18.6
End0.8
red by 2.8
26.10.3
25.325.6
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End1.3
Second
16.51.1
9.710.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
blue by 1.6
18.00.3
14.414.7
Auto6.5
Teleop10.3
End1.1
Third
9990
#12
13.21.1
7.28.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
red by 2.3
10.90.5
8.48.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned