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Red61
999013.2
219431.7
657411.7
Blue59
638118.9
253123.8
206219.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566202040801001201406159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.8
30.531.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.5
End2.5
red by 7.9
23.80.1
21.821.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End1.5
Second
9990
#12
13.21.3
5.97.2
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
blue by 6.3
19.50.1
18.318.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Third
6574
#13
11.70.8
13.113.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End1.4
blue by 7.2
18.90.1
16.015.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed