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Red50
999013.2
214317.1
957621.3
Blue82
999616.5
638118.9
582618.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494102060801005082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.1
21.121.3
Auto11.3
Teleop9.4
End0.6
red by 2.4
18.92.8
14.917.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End0.9
Second
2143
#14
17.10.1
17.017.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 0.9
18.02.8
14.717.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.3
End1.1
Third
9990
#12
13.20.2
8.38.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
blue by 3.3
16.54.6
10.915.5
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed