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Red43
93029.0
657411.7
874426.1
Blue67
219431.7
99946.8
206219.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80600501001502004367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#11
29.02.1
30.628.4
Auto9.5
Teleop18.6
End0.8
blue by 2.7
31.70.8
30.731.6
Auto11.6
Teleop17.5
End2.5
Second
26.12.1
25.623.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End1.3
red by 6.7
19.50.8
18.119.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Third
6574
#13
11.72.1
13.911.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End1.4
red by 4.9
9994
#10
6.81.4
5.46.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed