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Red66
253123.8
874426.1
999616.5
Blue49
999310.9
638118.9
999013.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673202040801001201401606649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.4
23.523.9
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End1.3
red by 7.3
18.90.9
17.718.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End0.9
Second
23.80.4
21.121.5
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End1.5
red by 10.6
9990
#12
13.21.4
8.59.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
Third
16.50.6
15.516.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
red by 5.6
10.91.5
8.910.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed