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Red74
219431.7
214317.1
957621.3
Blue47
999616.5
638118.9
999310.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8341020601001201401607447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.1
31.631.7
Auto11.6
Teleop17.5
End2.5
red by 12.8
18.90.0
18.618.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End0.9
Second
21.30.1
21.321.3
Auto11.3
Teleop9.4
End0.6
red by 4.9
16.50.1
16.116.1
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
Third
2143
#14
17.10.1
17.117.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 6.3
10.90.1
10.510.5
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End0.7