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Red76
219431.7
999616.5
638118.9
Blue51
582618.0
206219.5
214317.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655702040801001207651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.1
30.031.2
Auto11.6
Teleop17.5
End2.5
red by 12.2
19.50.1
17.517.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Second
18.91.1
19.720.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.1
End0.9
red by 0.9
18.00.1
13.012.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.3
End1.1
Third
16.51.9
9.411.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
blue by 0.7
2143
#14
17.10.1
21.921.8
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed