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Red55
253123.8
99946.8
999310.9
Blue57
219431.7
582618.0
93029.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359402060801201401605557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.0
20.120.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End1.5
blue by 7.9
31.71.7
31.229.4
Auto11.6
Teleop17.5
End2.5
Second
10.90.0
9.49.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End0.7
blue by 18.1
930
#11
29.01.7
33.832.1
Auto9.5
Teleop18.6
End0.8
Third
9994
#10
6.80.0
6.36.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.0
blue by 11.2
18.01.7
12.911.2
Auto6.5
Teleop10.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed