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Red54
657411.7
957621.3
582618.0
Blue47
214317.1
874426.1
999013.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536101001502005447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.3
19.920.3
Auto11.3
Teleop9.4
End0.6
blue by 4.8
26.10.4
24.424.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End1.3
Second
18.00.3
11.211.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.3
End1.1
red by 0.9
2143
#14
17.10.4
21.821.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
6574
#13
11.70.3
17.718.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End1.4
blue by 1.5
9990
#12
13.20.6
6.35.7
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed