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Red60
533910.3
423034.9
67328.1
Blue53
870116.1
87004.6
70610.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512401001502002503006053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#12
34.91.7
27.929.6
Auto11.7
Teleop20.1
End3.1
red by 18.7
8701
#49
16.12.2
12.915.1
Auto7.6
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Second
5339
#47
10.31.7
5.97.6
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End0.9
blue by 0.3
706
#33
10.62.0
7.99.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End0.8
Third
6732
#42
8.11.9
8.810.8
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
red by 3.5
8700
#54
4.62.2
3.96.0
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed