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Red45
590324.8
88037.8
53718.3
Blue57
130611.5
283028.9
40214.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50472030406070804557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#10
24.80.6
22.521.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End2.4
blue by 4.1
28.91.1
22.423.6
Auto12.5
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Second
537
#35
18.30.6
12.011.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.9
End0.3
red by 6.8
1306
#40
11.51.1
12.413.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.4
Third
8803
#53
7.80.6
10.710.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8
red by 3.4
4021
#46
4.51.2
8.29.5
Auto3.9
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed