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Red96
880225.8
957624.2
212935.1
Blue73
283028.9
957813.3
109114.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714501001509673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.12.8
28.231.1
Auto11.5
Teleop21.8
End1.8
red by 6.2
28.91.8
23.625.4
Auto12.5
Teleop15.0
End1.4
Second
25.82.8
13.916.8
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End0.5
red by 11.0
1091
#17
14.82.0
8.610.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Third
9576
#25
24.23.1
19.222.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.7
red by 10.9
9578
#48
13.32.7
11.414.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed