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Red64
338113.6
702132.4
87827.8
Blue52
870116.1
309013.0
96723.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554602040801001206452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.3
22.122.4
Auto12.5
Teleop15.7
End4.1
red by 8.9
967
#27
23.50.6
18.519.1
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End0.1
Second
3381
#34
13.60.3
12.913.1
Auto6.1
Teleop6.9
End0.5
blue by 2.5
8701
#49
16.10.6
15.115.7
Auto7.6
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
8782
#50
7.80.4
13.413.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 5.2
3090
#32
13.00.8
8.89.7
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed