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Red35
53718.3
297718.5
616619.6
Blue58
582613.0
270422.4
665119.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52490204060801003558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.61.3
12.911.7
Auto9.4
Teleop8.0
End2.2
blue by 2.8
22.40.4
17.017.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Second
2977
#37
18.50.8
22.121.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 0.8
6651
#36
19.20.4
19.920.3
Auto8.9
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Third
537
#35
18.30.8
11.410.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.9
End0.3
red by 5.2
5826
#16
13.00.5
8.08.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed