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Red64
401118.3
590324.8
171613.0
Blue63
171028.1
423034.9
80248.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48660204060801001206463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#10
24.81.4
22.223.6
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End2.4
blue by 10.0
4230
#12
34.90.5
28.829.2
Auto11.7
Teleop20.1
End3.1
Second
4011
#24
18.31.5
15.717.3
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End0.9
blue by 9.8
28.10.4
23.023.4
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Third
1716
#21
13.01.4
7.28.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.5
red by 4.1
8024
#44
8.90.4
5.66.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed