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Red42
558617.1
52526.9
341817.0
Blue71
282622.8
591419.4
17117.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565535404550606570754271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#15
26.90.6
21.821.2
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.3
red by 4.1
22.81.0
17.919.0
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
Second
5586
#29
17.10.5
12.512.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
blue by 2.4
5914
#11
19.41.2
18.619.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End0.6
Third
3418
#39
17.00.6
15.715.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.2
blue by 0.2
171
#18
17.31.0
13.914.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed