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Red60
167522.5
40214.5
70610.6
Blue57
309013.0
212935.1
967618.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3664020801001201406057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#20
22.50.3
20.220.5
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 12.5
35.10.2
31.131.2
Auto11.5
Teleop21.8
End1.8
Second
706
#33
10.60.3
8.58.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 7.7
9676
#43
18.30.2
13.814.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End2.1
Third
4021
#46
4.50.3
7.07.3
Auto3.9
Teleop0.8
End-0.3
blue by 8.6
3090
#32
13.00.3
9.710.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed