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Red41
665119.2
96723.5
87004.6
Blue63
88037.8
514815.6
957624.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5348203040607080904163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#27
23.50.6
19.118.6
Auto8.1
Teleop15.3
End0.1
blue by 0.7
9576
#25
24.21.4
22.323.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.7
Second
6651
#36
19.20.5
20.319.8
Auto8.9
Teleop9.5
End0.9
red by 3.6
5148
#45
15.61.2
14.315.6
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Third
8700
#54
4.60.6
7.67.0
Auto0.7
Teleop1.9
End1.9
blue by 3.2
8803
#53
7.81.2
7.68.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed