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Red85
957813.3
282622.8
162525.9
Blue51
250620.0
130611.5
401118.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615402040801001201401608551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#22
25.91.7
22.924.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.2
End1.7
red by 5.9
2506
#19
20.00.1
17.717.8
Auto11.7
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Second
22.81.7
19.020.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
red by 4.5
4011
#24
18.30.1
17.317.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Third
9578
#48
13.32.8
12.815.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End2.0
red by 1.8
1306
#40
11.50.1
14.714.8
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed