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Red35
70610.6
50195.3
967618.3
Blue78
369212.6
171613.0
52526.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480204060801003578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9676
#43
18.30.0
14.014.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End2.1
blue by 8.6
525
#15
26.91.8
21.223.0
Auto12.5
Teleop13.1
End1.3
Second
706
#33
10.60.0
8.88.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.3
End0.8
blue by 2.4
1716
#21
13.01.8
8.610.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Third
5019
#52
5.30.0
10.210.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 7.3
3692
#23
12.61.8
11.613.4
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed