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Red77
582613.0
109114.8
171028.1
Blue35
665119.2
40546.4
309013.0
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4946102030406070807735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.11.5
23.424.9
Auto11.2
Teleop14.5
End2.4
red by 8.8
6651
#36
19.20.5
19.819.3
Auto8.9
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Second
1091
#17
14.81.5
11.412.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.6
red by 1.8
3090
#32
13.00.8
10.09.2
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
5826
#16
13.01.5
9.210.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End0.9
red by 6.7
4054
#51
6.40.8
12.111.3
Auto0.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed