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Red60
590324.8
80248.9
870116.1
Blue82
880225.8
270422.4
220223.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4967204060801001201406082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5903
#10
24.80.8
23.624.4
Auto8.2
Teleop14.2
End2.4
blue by 0.9
25.81.6
19.220.8
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End0.5
Second
8701
#49
16.10.8
16.517.3
Auto7.6
Teleop7.2
End1.3
blue by 7.7
2202
#14
23.81.6
21.623.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End1.4
Third
8024
#44
8.90.8
6.06.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End2.8
blue by 13.6
22.41.6
17.318.9
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed