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Red64
87827.8
219432.3
297718.5
Blue55
67328.1
167522.5
514815.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions764902040601001201406455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.31.1
31.129.9
Auto11.9
Teleop18.3
End2.2
red by 9.8
1675
#20
22.50.4
20.520.8
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
2977
#37
18.51.1
21.220.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 2.9
5148
#45
15.60.4
15.615.9
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Third
8782
#50
7.81.9
13.611.7
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End1.0
blue by 0.3
6732
#42
8.10.6
11.412.0
Auto5.6
Teleop1.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed